It’s a weird season (in a pleasant way) as we see Tim Duncan convincingly take the top spot as we compiled the Top 10 power forwards of the 2012-13 season. Too old? Over the hill? Perhaps. But if so, someone forgot to tell the Big Fundamental that as he totally crushed all the other PFs this season in fantasy basketball.
These rankings are based on the head-to-head format and are filtered based on the standard nine categories of points, rebounds, assists, steals, blocks, three-point shots made, field goal percentage, free throw percentage, and turnovers committed.
As always, these ratings are based on WARP, or “Wins Above Replacement Player.” The score beside the players’ names is the player’s WARP score.
1. Tim Duncan, SAS (0.84) - Call it magic, call it a miracle, call it whatever the heck you want. This season, Tim Duncan played his best and most rejuvenated basketball in years. Maybe it’s a last hurrah. Who knows? Whatever it is/was, his fantasy owners who gamble on Timmy in the middle rounds of drafts were all laughing themselves to podium finishes (ideally) this season. They all cashed in on Duncan’s 17.8 PPG; 9.9 RPG; and 2.6 BPG.
2. LaMarcus Aldridge, POR (0.68) - While Aldridge was no pushover this season, it’s clear how big an impact a difference between Duncan’s 2.6 BPG and Aldridge’s 1.2 BPG can swing WARP. Nonetheless, Aldridge was still a reliable 21-point scoring, nine-rebound grabbing PF option this season. He did what power forwards are supposed to do and then some. Few big men – well let’s ignore the Unicorn at the #1 spot – can deliver 81% FT at four+ attempts per game.
3. Dirk Nowitzki, DAL (0.59) - He did miss a ton of games, managing to play in only 53, but on a per game production stand point, Dirk was still an impressive asset to his owners. This was the most games he’s missed since his rookie season; a testament that he’s finally fallen prey to wear and tear. Well the healthy Dirk, was still Dirk; scoring, rebounding and doing a little of everything across the board. He’s no longer first-round material and next season we should see his ADP drop to the late-second to the early third rounds of most standard drafts.
4. Serge Ibaka, OKC (0.56) - He may not have won the Defensive-Player-of-the-Year award, but he still led the league in blocks (3.0) and even improved on the offensive end of the court with his 13.2 PPG. He even developed an rare touch from beyond at 0.3 conversions per game, which was gravy and actually immaterial to the general success of my “Small-ball-Ibaka” team experiments this season. He’s still improving and should still see a small boost in his production next season.
5. David Lee, GSW (0.54) - Lee led the league in double-doubles this season through his 18.5 PPG and 11.2 RPG. How could he not, with Andrew Bogut missing much of the season and Curry and Thompson tossing the rock from downtown? Lee’s game and skill set is a perfect fit for his team, or more likely, his team is a perfect fit for Lee’s fantasy value. Even though he went down in the playoffs due to a torn hip flexor, Lee should be healthy and ready to roll come training camp.
6. Chris Bosh, MIA (0.54) - While most of the attention and the spotlight has been on LeBron James and after him Dwyane Wade, Bosh still managed to put together a very solid season overall. He was one of the big men that really worked well with fantasy teams that were focusing on shooting percentages and keeping turnovers down to a minimum. Hell he was kind enough to even block some shots this season (1.4 BPG). So yes, it was difficult to poke fun or make jokes about Bosh this season. Hopefully, he won’t give us any reasons to bust out those “third wheel” snipes come 2013-14.
7. Larry Sanders, MIL (0.51) - He came out of nowhere this season, emerging as one of the more athletic big men in the league. He finished second to Serge Ibaka in blocks per game at 2.8 BPG. Not too far off and not too bad considering he did rebound the ball a bit better than Serge at 9.5 RPG. He’s a strong candidate to improve next season, especially now that he’s earned the trust and confidence of the powers that be in Milwaukee.
8. Anthony Davis, NOH (0.51) - The rookie lived up to expectations, mostly. Well the core of his projected value was there with his averages of 1.8 BPG, 1.2 SPG, and 8.2 RPG. His offense is still a work in progress and should still get better as each season passes. He’s far from being the team’s go-to guy on offense and should still be considered for his defensive numbers. Few players offer a combination of 1+ blocks and 1+ steals in their statistical repertoire so Davis should still keep a solid following come the 2013-14 fantasy draft.
9. Josh Smith, ATL (0.51) - Considering where he was valued, pre-draft, this season, it’s a disappointment to see Smith wind up in a three-way tie with Davis and Sanders with only 0.51 WARP. He was a let down. He’s good multi-cat contributor, but it is now established that he’s not going to excel as a team’s “biggest star.” With a similar 1.8 BPG and 1.2 SPG average as AD, Smoove should still bring in some value, just not as prime as he did in 2011-12. Follow news on what team he ends up at next season, as his situation and team composition should affect his production.
10. Ryan Anderson, NOH (0.47) - Anderson took a hit with the addition of Anthony Davis and the return of Eric Gordon proved to hurt his overall value. He’s still a solid source of treys at 2.6 3PPG, but hi poor FG% and lower rebounding were factors that dragged him down the rankings this season.